Impact, Intelligently

Precision intelligence for global health.

New health markets demand a new kind of visibility.

African governments and businesses are actively building the next era of health markets — investing in sovereign procurement, local manufacturing, and stronger health systems.

Until now, the intelligence infrastructure to support those ambitions simply didn't exist: the data was siloed, the models were rarely fit for purpose, and no shared foundation connected the insights of one initiative to the next. Today, advances in AI mean that complex, dispersed datasets that would have taken teams of analysts months to process can be synthesized across countries, products, and years in seconds.


Merlyn was built for this convergence — starting in sub-Saharan Africa, where the momentum and the need are greatest, and expanding across the Global South. Precision intelligence, built for the system-level decisions that save lives at scale.

The Merlyn Platform

The world model for global health.

Powered by three advances the field has never had simultaneously: proprietary data partnerships spanning public procurement and private distribution; detailed ontologies that map how products, markets, and health systems interact; and state-of-the-art AI that deploys the right model for each decision — in seconds.

The Data

The most valuable data in global health has never been assembled in one place. Merlyn integrates proprietary data from governments and distributors — order, pricing, supply chain, and service delivery data no commercial provider can access — with the broader picture of how societies work: demographic trends, economic indicators, education levels, infrastructure density, and policy environment data from IHME, WHO, the World Bank, and more. Health markets cannot be modeled in isolation from the societies they serve.

The Ontologies

Raw data and sophisticated models are only as good as the frameworks that connect them. Merlyn's ontologies define how products, markets, and health systems relate to each other. For example, our ProductDNA framework identifies the closest historical launch analogues for a new product across five dimensions, enabling us to generate best-fit uptake curves and country archetypes. The right framework for the right decision — built on subject matter expertise that cannot be replicated by data alone.

The Models

Most global health analyses rely on linear regression — a tool designed to measure one factor at a time. But the decisions that shape health markets are rarely that simple. Reducing maternal mortality requires improving women's education, increasing facility delivery rates, and expanding oxytocin availability. Merlyn deploys the right model for each decision: random forest models for intervention prioritization, Monte Carlo simulation for investment risk analysis, elasticity models for pricing strategy.

Merlyn in Action

The questions global health has never been able to answer. Until now.

Whether you're launching a drug, funding a manufacturer, or stretching a procurement budget — the right answer requires seeing the whole market. Health markets are interconnected. Your intelligence should be too.

Contract Review

Launch Planning

Instantly analyze complex contracts and detect missing clauses, inconsistencies, or potential risks using advanced legal AI models trained on real-world data.

Entering an LMIC market without reliable intelligence is how pharmaceutical companies make expensive mistakes — overestimating demand, mispricing, or choosing the wrong distribution model. Merlyn puts every major launch decision in one place — business model, manufacturing strategy, market prioritization, and pricing — modeled against real order and pricing data across public and private channels. Optimized for both commercial return and patient reach, because in LMICs the two are not as incompatible as conventional wisdom suggests.

Drafting Assistant

Demand Forecasting

Instantly analyze complex contracts and detect missing clauses, inconsistencies, or potential risks using advanced legal AI models trained on real-world data.

Stop flying blind on new product demand. Merlyn's probabilistic demand forecasts combine ProductDNA analogue matching, country archetypes, and leading market indicators to generate low, medium, and high adoption scenarios — with confidence intervals that reflect real market uncertainty. From total addressable market to launch timing by country, everything a manufacturer, investor, or procurement team needs to size an opportunity and plan supply with confidence.

Compliance Monitoring

Intervention Prioritization

Stay compliant effortlessly — Novera continuously checks your contracts against the latest regulations, alerting you to risks before they become issues.

Almost every global health funder and minister knows what they want to achieve. Almost none have had the evidence to know exactly how to get there. Merlyn's intervention prioritization models — powered by random forest causal analysis across decades of country-level data — identify the specific combination of interventions that will move the needle most on the outcome you care about, in your specific market context. The result: a ranked, sequenced action plan your minister can defend to parliament — not a list of things that work somewhere in the literature.

Trust & Safety

Africa's data, Africa's terms.

The data that can transform public health lives in government systems. We build our entire infrastructure around earning the trust required to access it — and keep it.

Compliance

Built to GDPR standard; designed to comply with applicable national laws, with routine country-specific compliance assessments.

Security

End-to-end encryption in transit and at rest, role-based access controls, and regular independent third-party security audits.

Transparency & Accountability

Immutable audit logs accessible to government partners, showing who queried your data, when, and what outputs were returned.

Data Sovereignty

Data is stored in local data centers; raw data never crosses borders; and you may request full deletion at any time.

Merlyn Value Proposition

See the market. Shape health outcomes.

One platform designed for every actor in Africa's public health market — from governments and donors to pharma companies and investors

Governments

Free

Contribute your LMIS and DHIS data and get permanent free access to Merlyn AI.

Features

Identify cost savings opportunities

Improve accuracy of demand forecasts

Create supply plans for any product

Prioritize interventions to eliminate disease

Manufacturers

Annual Plan

Access robust, holistic market intel that no pan-African data provider can offer.

Features

Assess launch readiness by market

Calculate ROI of African business

Define tiered pricing strategies

Analyze risks - pricing, IP, legal, reputational

Investors/Donors/NGOs

Custom

Create more accurate, probabilistic risk, impact, & demand models in seconds.

Features

Select best-fit product uptake curves

Build probabilistic demand & risk models

Use causal disease models to set strategy

Strengthen commercial plans of investees

Governments

Free

Contribute your LMIS and DHIS data and get permanent free access to Merlyn AI.

Features

Identify cost savings opportunities

Improve accuracy of demand forecasts

Create supply plans for any product

Prioritize interventions to eliminate disease

Manufacturers

Annual Plan

Access robust, holistic market intel that no pan-African data provider can offer.

Features

Assess launch readiness by market

Calculate ROI of African business

Define tiered pricing strategies

Analyze risks - pricing, IP, legal, reputational

Investors/Donors/NGOs

Custom

Create more accurate, probabilistic risk, impact, & demand models in seconds.

Features

Select best-fit product uptake curves

Build probabilistic demand & risk models

Use causal disease models to set strategy

Strengthen commercial plans of investees

Governments

Free

Contribute your LMIS and DHIS data and get permanent free access to Merlyn AI.

Features

Identify cost savings opportunities

Improve accuracy of demand forecasts

Create supply plans for any product

Prioritize interventions to eliminate disease

Manufacturers

Annual Plan

Access robust, holistic market intel that no pan-African data provider can offer.

Features

Assess launch readiness by market

Calculate ROI of African business

Define tiered pricing strategies

Analyze risks - pricing, IP, legal, reputational

Investors/Donors/NGOs

Custom

Create more accurate, probabilistic risk, impact, & demand models in seconds.

Features

Select best-fit product uptake curves

Build probabilistic demand & risk models

Use causal disease models to set strategy

Strengthen commercial plans of investees

Want to discuss pilot pricing or partnership? Talk to us.

Let's talk.

The global health field has needed this for 20 years. If you'd like to help build it - as a funder, investor, partner, or customer - we'd love to hear from you.

Let's talk.

The global health field has needed this for 20 years. If you'd like to help build it - as a funder, investor, partner, or customer - we'd love to hear from you.

Let's talk.

The global health field has needed this for 20 years. If you'd like to help build it - as a funder, investor, partner, or customer - we'd love to hear from you.